2025 NFL SEASON
Team intelligence file

New England Patriots

Season 2025 through Week 18 with Elo movement and per-game context.

Rank
#4
Final Elo
1664
Weeks tracked
18
Game history

Week-by-week breakdown

All regular-season weeks remain preserved
Week 1 End-of-week Elo: 1470
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
13–20
-7
2.0
-30
1470
Week 2 End-of-week Elo: 1498
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
33–27
6
2.2
+28
1498
Week 3 End-of-week Elo: 1465
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
14–21
-7
3.3
-33
1465
Week 4 End-of-week Elo: 1506
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
42–13
29
0.3
+41
1506
Week 5 End-of-week Elo: 1531
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
23–20
3
-1.5
+25
1531
Week 6 End-of-week Elo: 1551
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
25–19
6
6.5
+20
1551
Week 7 End-of-week Elo: 1574
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
31–13
18
10.6
+23
1574
Week 8 End-of-week Elo: 1592
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
32–13
19
8.2
+18
1592
Week 9 End-of-week Elo: 1596
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
24–23
1
9.0
+4
1596
Week 10 End-of-week Elo: 1619
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
28–23
5
3.8
+23
1619
Week 11 End-of-week Elo: 1629
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
27–14
13
13.0
+10
1629
Week 12 End-of-week Elo: 1639
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
26–20
6
14.3
+10
1639
Week 13 End-of-week Elo: 1648
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
33–15
18
15.0
+9
1648
Week 14 End-of-week Elo: 1648
Bye week
Week 15 End-of-week Elo: 1621
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
31–35
-4
4.5
-27
1621
Week 16 End-of-week Elo: 1637
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
28–24
4
8.0
+16
1637
Week 17 End-of-week Elo: 1650
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
42–10
32
17.5
+13
1650
Week 18 End-of-week Elo: 1664
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
38–10
28
12.2
+14
1664