NFL Power Index
2025 NFL SEASON
⌂ 2025 2024
Team intelligence file

Buffalo Bills

Season 2025 through Week 18 with Elo movement and per-game context.

Back to week 18 Open trend chart
Rank
#7
Final Elo
1627
Weeks tracked
18
Game history

Week-by-week breakdown

All regular-season weeks remain preserved
Week 1 End-of-week Elo: 1507
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Baltimore Ravens
Home
41–40
1
2.0
+7
1507
Week 2 End-of-week Elo: 1548
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
New York Jets
Away
30–10
20
3.1
+41
1548
Week 3 End-of-week Elo: 1564
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Miami Dolphins
Home
31–21
10
7.3
+16
1564
Week 4 End-of-week Elo: 1579
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
New Orleans Saints
Home
31–19
12
8.9
+15
1579
Week 5 End-of-week Elo: 1555
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
New England Patriots
Home
20–23
-3
5.5
-24
1555
Week 6 End-of-week Elo: 1525
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Atlanta Falcons
Away
14–24
-10
4.4
-30
1525
Week 7 End-of-week Elo: 1525
Bye week
Week 8 End-of-week Elo: 1573
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Carolina Panthers
Away
40–9
31
2.7
+48
1573
Week 9 End-of-week Elo: 1597
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Kansas City Chiefs
Home
28–21
7
0.7
+24
1597
Week 10 End-of-week Elo: 1542
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Miami Dolphins
Away
13–30
-17
11.6
-55
1542
Week 11 End-of-week Elo: 1568
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Home
44–32
12
2.3
+26
1568
Week 12 End-of-week Elo: 1550
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Houston Texans
Away
19–23
-4
2.7
-18
1550
Week 13 End-of-week Elo: 1588
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Pittsburgh Steelers
Away
26–7
19
4.2
+38
1588
Week 14 End-of-week Elo: 1597
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Cincinnati Bengals
Home
39–34
5
9.8
+9
1597
Week 15 End-of-week Elo: 1624
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
New England Patriots
Away
35–31
4
-0.4
+27
1624
Week 16 End-of-week Elo: 1631
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Cleveland Browns
Away
23–20
3
14.8
+7
1631
Week 17 End-of-week Elo: 1619
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Philadelphia Eagles
Home
12–13
-1
5.2
-12
1619
Week 18 End-of-week Elo: 1627
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
New York Jets
Home
35–8
27
17.3
+8
1627