2024 NFL SEASON
Team intelligence file

Washington Commanders

Season 2024 through Week 18 with Elo movement and per-game context.

Rank
#9
Final Elo
1604
Weeks tracked
18
Game history

Week-by-week breakdown

All regular-season weeks remain preserved
Week 1 End-of-week Elo: 1464
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
20–37
-17
1.8
-36
1464
Week 2 End-of-week Elo: 1481
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
21–18
3
2.0
+17
1481
Week 3 End-of-week Elo: 1502
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
38–33
5
2.5
+21
1502
Week 4 End-of-week Elo: 1543
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
42–14
28
2.3
+41
1543
Week 5 End-of-week Elo: 1569
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
34–13
21
7.0
+26
1569
Week 6 End-of-week Elo: 1541
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
23–30
-7
2.9
-28
1541
Week 7 End-of-week Elo: 1564
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
40–7
33
9.9
+23
1564
Week 8 End-of-week Elo: 1581
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
18–15
3
2.2
+17
1581
Week 9 End-of-week Elo: 1592
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
27–22
5
10.4
+11
1592
Week 10 End-of-week Elo: 1584
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
27–28
-1
1.1
-8
1584
Week 11 End-of-week Elo: 1559
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
18–26
-8
0.4
-25
1559
Week 12 End-of-week Elo: 1516
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
26–34
-8
10.3
-43
1516
Week 13 End-of-week Elo: 1543
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
42–19
23
6.7
+27
1543
Week 14 End-of-week Elo: 1543
Bye week
Week 15 End-of-week Elo: 1549
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
20–19
1
6.5
+6
1549
Week 16 End-of-week Elo: 1576
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
36–33
3
-6.2
+27
1576
Week 17 End-of-week Elo: 1593
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
30–24
6
7.0
+17
1593
Week 18 End-of-week Elo: 1604
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
23–19
4
8.7
+11
1604