2024 NFL SEASON
Team intelligence file

Buffalo Bills

Season 2024 through Week 18 with Elo movement and per-game context.

Rank
#5
Final Elo
1643
Weeks tracked
18
Game history

Week-by-week breakdown

All regular-season weeks remain preserved
Week 1 End-of-week Elo: 1524
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
34–28
6
1.8
+24
1524
Week 2 End-of-week Elo: 1562
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
31–10
21
2.2
+38
1562
Week 3 End-of-week Elo: 1593
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
47–10
37
6.9
+31
1593
Week 4 End-of-week Elo: 1536
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
10–35
-25
7.6
-57
1536
Week 5 End-of-week Elo: 1518
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
20–23
-3
2.8
-18
1518
Week 6 End-of-week Elo: 1534
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
23–20
3
2.4
+16
1534
Week 7 End-of-week Elo: 1563
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
34–10
24
6.3
+29
1563
Week 8 End-of-week Elo: 1596
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
31–10
21
4.3
+33
1596
Week 9 End-of-week Elo: 1604
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
30–27
3
11.3
+8
1604
Week 10 End-of-week Elo: 1622
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
30–20
10
7.8
+18
1622
Week 11 End-of-week Elo: 1655
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
30–21
9
-0.1
+33
1655
Week 12 End-of-week Elo: 1655
Bye week
Week 13 End-of-week Elo: 1677
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
35–10
25
9.8
+22
1677
Week 14 End-of-week Elo: 1654
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
42–44
-2
10.8
-23
1654
Week 15 End-of-week Elo: 1685
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
48–42
6
-1.7
+31
1685
Week 16 End-of-week Elo: 1688
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
24–21
3
19.1
+3
1688
Week 17 End-of-week Elo: 1700
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
40–14
26
15.9
+12
1700
Week 18 End-of-week Elo: 1643
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
16–23
-7
20.8
-57
1643