NFL Power Index
2025 NFL SEASON
⌂ 2025 2024
Team intelligence file

Washington Commanders

Season 2025 through Week 18 with Elo movement and per-game context.

Back to week 18 Open trend chart
Rank
#28
Final Elo
1397
Weeks tracked
18
Game history

Week-by-week breakdown

All regular-season weeks remain preserved
Week 1 End-of-week Elo: 1529
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
New York Giants
Home
21–6
15
2.0
+29
1529
Week 2 End-of-week Elo: 1505
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Green Bay Packers
Away
18–27
-9
2.0
-24
1505
Week 3 End-of-week Elo: 1534
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Las Vegas Raiders
Home
41–24
17
2.6
+29
1534
Week 4 End-of-week Elo: 1507
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Atlanta Falcons
Away
27–34
-7
4.7
-27
1507
Week 5 End-of-week Elo: 1554
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Los Angeles Chargers
Away
27–10
17
0.2
+47
1554
Week 6 End-of-week Elo: 1542
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Chicago Bears
Home
24–25
-1
5.1
-12
1542
Week 7 End-of-week Elo: 1501
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Dallas Cowboys
Away
22–44
-22
5.0
-41
1501
Week 8 End-of-week Elo: 1477
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Kansas City Chiefs
Away
7–28
-21
-1.6
-24
1477
Week 9 End-of-week Elo: 1446
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Seattle Seahawks
Home
14–38
-24
-3.7
-31
1446
Week 10 End-of-week Elo: 1415
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Detroit Lions
Home
22–44
-22
-3.4
-31
1415
Week 11 End-of-week Elo: 1402
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Miami Dolphins
Away
13–16
-3
0.2
-13
1402
Week 12 End-of-week Elo: 1402
Bye week
Week 13 End-of-week Elo: 1398
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Denver Broncos
Home
26–27
-1
-9.1
-4
1398
Week 14 End-of-week Elo: 1363
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Minnesota Vikings
Away
0–31
-31
1.5
-35
1363
Week 15 End-of-week Elo: 1395
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
New York Giants
Away
29–21
8
2.2
+32
1395
Week 16 End-of-week Elo: 1373
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Philadelphia Eagles
Home
18–29
-11
-5.1
-22
1373
Week 17 End-of-week Elo: 1349
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Dallas Cowboys
Home
23–30
-7
-1.1
-24
1349
Week 18 End-of-week Elo: 1397
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Philadelphia Eagles
Away
24–17
7
-8.9
+48
1397