2024 NFL SEASON
Team intelligence file

Washington Commanders

Season 2024 through Week 18 with Elo movement and per-game context.

Rank
#9
Final Elo
1600
Weeks tracked
18
Game history

Week-by-week breakdown

All regular-season weeks remain preserved
Week 1 End-of-week Elo: 1470
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
20–37
-17
1.7
-30
1470
Week 2 End-of-week Elo: 1483
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
21–18
3
2.5
+13
1483
Week 3 End-of-week Elo: 1508
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
38–33
5
2.6
+25
1508
Week 4 End-of-week Elo: 1553
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
42–14
28
2.9
+45
1553
Week 5 End-of-week Elo: 1573
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
34–13
21
7.4
+20
1573
Week 6 End-of-week Elo: 1549
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
23–30
-7
3.1
-24
1549
Week 7 End-of-week Elo: 1566
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
40–7
33
10.3
+17
1566
Week 8 End-of-week Elo: 1580
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
18–15
3
2.7
+14
1580
Week 9 End-of-week Elo: 1594
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
27–22
5
10.5
+14
1594
Week 10 End-of-week Elo: 1584
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
27–28
-1
1.2
-10
1584
Week 11 End-of-week Elo: 1564
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
18–26
-8
-0.4
-20
1564
Week 12 End-of-week Elo: 1516
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
26–34
-8
10.8
-48
1516
Week 13 End-of-week Elo: 1539
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
42–19
23
6.2
+23
1539
Week 14 End-of-week Elo: 1539
Bye week
Week 15 End-of-week Elo: 1547
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
20–19
1
6.7
+8
1547
Week 16 End-of-week Elo: 1571
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
36–33
3
-6.7
+24
1571
Week 17 End-of-week Elo: 1585
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
30–24
6
6.6
+14
1585
Week 18 End-of-week Elo: 1600
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
23–19
4
8.3
+15
1600