2024 NFL SEASON
Team intelligence file

Buffalo Bills

Season 2024 through Week 18 with Elo movement and per-game context.

Rank
#5
Final Elo
1647
Weeks tracked
18
Game history

Week-by-week breakdown

All regular-season weeks remain preserved
Week 1 End-of-week Elo: 1521
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
34–28
6
1.7
+21
1521
Week 2 End-of-week Elo: 1564
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
31–10
21
2.0
+43
1564
Week 3 End-of-week Elo: 1589
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
47–10
37
6.9
+25
1589
Week 4 End-of-week Elo: 1539
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
10–35
-25
7.1
-50
1539
Week 5 End-of-week Elo: 1524
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
20–23
-3
2.8
-15
1524
Week 6 End-of-week Elo: 1543
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
23–20
3
2.4
+19
1543
Week 7 End-of-week Elo: 1565
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
34–10
24
6.7
+22
1565
Week 8 End-of-week Elo: 1603
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
31–10
21
4.4
+38
1603
Week 9 End-of-week Elo: 1609
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
30–27
3
11.5
+6
1609
Week 10 End-of-week Elo: 1632
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
30–20
10
7.7
+23
1632
Week 11 End-of-week Elo: 1659
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
30–21
9
0.3
+27
1659
Week 12 End-of-week Elo: 1659
Bye week
Week 13 End-of-week Elo: 1676
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
35–10
25
9.9
+17
1676
Week 14 End-of-week Elo: 1656
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
42–44
-2
10.5
-20
1656
Week 15 End-of-week Elo: 1689
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
48–42
6
-1.7
+33
1689
Week 16 End-of-week Elo: 1692
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
24–21
3
18.6
+3
1692
Week 17 End-of-week Elo: 1701
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Home
40–14
26
15.7
+9
1701
Week 18 End-of-week Elo: 1647
Opponent
Location
Score
Margin
Predicted
Δ Elo
Post
Away
16–23
-7
20.4
-54
1647